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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 9% 10% 14% 16% 17% 17% 19% 21% 23% 26% 32% 32% 37% 42% 43% 49% 54% 55% 55% 57% 61% 83% 86% 89% 99% 100% SEC: 3.95
B10: 2.95
B12: 1.45
ACC: 1.63
G5: 1.95