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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 17% 18% 18% 19% 20% 32% 33% 35% 47% 50% 52% 58% 58% SEC: 3.12
B10: 2.74
B12: 1.06
ACC: 1.37
G5: 3.70