Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday
1% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
12% |
12% |
13% |
14% |
17% |
18% |
18% |
19% |
20% |
32% |
33% |
35% |
47% |
50% |
52% |
58% |
58% |
SEC: 3.12 | B10: 2.74 | B12: 1.06 | ACC: 1.37 | G5: 3.70 |